Carlton v North Melbourne
2024-07-21 16:40:00 +10:00
Docklands

16.11

107

14.4

88

Carlton won by 19 points

IN

Durdin

Carroll

Cuningham

Motlop

Hewett

Kennedy

Pittonet

Kemp

Boyd

Marchbank

OUT

IN

Logue

Fisher

Taylor

Dawson

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		87%	43 points	✓	23.5	0.80
Aggregate		88%	43 points	✓	24.0	0.81
		95%	57 points	✓	38.0	0.93
		93%	46 points	✓	27.2	0.89
		93%	53 points	✓	34.0	0.89
		92%	41 points	✓	21.5	0.88
		92%	49 points	✓	29.7	0.87
		91%	52 points	✓	33.0	0.86
		91%	42 points	✓	23.1	0.86
		91%	47 points	✓	27.5	0.86
		90%	46 points	✓	26.9	0.85
		90%	46 points	✓	27.0	0.85
		90%	53 points	✓	33.9	0.84
		90%	40 points	✓	21.0	0.84
		89%	46 points	✓	27.4	0.84
		89%	40 points	✓	21.3	0.84
		89%	43 points	✓	23.9	0.83
		89%	43 points	✓	24.1	0.82
		88%	43 points	✓	24.1	0.82
		88%	46 points	✓	27.0	0.82
		87%	39 points	✓	20.0	0.81
Punters		87%	39 points	✓	19.6	0.80
		86%	35 points	✓	16.0	0.78
		85%	52 points	✓	33.0	0.77
		84%	37 points	✓	17.8	0.75
		84%	42 points	✓	23.0	0.75
		83%	37 points	✓	18.0	0.73
		82%	47 points	✓	28.0	0.72
		80%	21 points	✓	1.8	0.67
		72%	23 points	✓	4.2	0.52

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.