Geelong v Western Bulldogs
Kardinia Park
7.6
48
13.17
95
Western Bulldogs won by 47 points
IN
Clohesy
Parfitt
Atkins
Neale
OUT
IN
West
Treloar
Garcia
Gallagher
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 50.8 | -0.12 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 52.9 | -0.20 |
|
|
65% | 15 points | ✗ | 62.1 | -0.50 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 59.3 | -0.47 |
|
|
64% | 10 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.47 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 58.6 | -0.46 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.46 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 57.3 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 56.1 | -0.39 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✗ | 54.5 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 6 points | ✗ | 53.1 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -0.30 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 52.2 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 4 points | ✗ | 51.4 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✗ | 56.0 | -0.18 |
|
|
56% | 3 points | ✗ | 50.2 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 51.5 | -0.16 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 52.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 2 points | ✗ | 48.7 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 50.1 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 10 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 45.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 44.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.31 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.