Port Adelaide v Hawthorn
2024-05-19 15:20:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

11.14

80

12.7

79

Port Adelaide won by 1 point

IN

Burgoyne

Evans

OUT

IN

Phillips

Jiath

Chol

Scrimshaw

Hardwick

Maginness

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		78%	29 points	✓	28.4	0.65
Aggregate		78%	28 points	✓	27.2	0.64
Punters		86%	32 points	✓	31.2	0.78
		84%	32 points	✓	31.0	0.75
		84%	35 points	✓	34.0	0.74
		83%	36 points	✓	34.6	0.73
		82%	32 points	✓	31.4	0.72
		82%	28 points	✓	27.1	0.71
		82%	28 points	✓	26.8	0.71
		80%	29 points	✓	27.9	0.67
		80%	29 points	✓	28.4	0.67
		79%	40 points	✓	39.0	0.66
		79%	36 points	✓	35.0	0.66
		79%	26 points	✓	25.2	0.66
		79%	28 points	✓	27.5	0.66
		79%	29 points	✓	28.0	0.65
		79%	29 points	✓	28.0	0.65
		79%	25 points	✓	23.5	0.65
		78%	28 points	✓	27.0	0.64
		78%	39 points	✓	38.0	0.64
		78%	28 points	✓	27.4	0.63
		77%	24 points	✓	22.8	0.63
		76%	22 points	✓	21.1	0.61
		76%	24 points	✓	23.0	0.61
		75%	26 points	✓	25.0	0.58
		74%	26 points	✓	24.9	0.56
		73%	25 points	✓	24.0	0.55
		73%	15 points	✓	13.9	0.54
		72%	20 points	✓	19.3	0.53
		66%	16 points	✓	15.4	0.40

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.