St Kilda v Fremantle
Docklands
8.7
55
9.18
72
Fremantle won by 17 points
IN
Collard
Dow
Jones
Caminiti
Phillipou
Ross
Membrey
Stocker
Hayes
Hastie
OUT
IN
Chapman
Walker
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 21.3 | -0.14 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 20.9 | -0.12 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 27.2 | -0.39 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 25.2 | -0.34 |
|
|
60% | 12 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
59% | 6 points | ✗ | 23.1 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 22.6 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 20.6 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✗ | 22.5 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 20.2 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 20.8 | -0.11 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 19.2 | -0.10 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 19.6 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 19.6 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 19.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.8 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.5 | -0.01 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
58% | 2 points | ✓ | 15.2 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.