Brisbane Lions v Richmond
2024-05-18 19:30:00 +10:00
Gabba

26.7

163

6.8

44

Brisbane Lions won by 119 points

IN

Reville

Prior

OUT

IN

McAuliffe

Green

Coulthard

McIntosh

Graham

Rioli

Cumberland

Banks

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		87%	43 points	✓	76.3	0.81
Aggregate		87%	40 points	✓	78.7	0.79
		95%	54 points	✓	65.0	0.93
		94%	56 points	✓	63.0	0.90
Punters		93%	48 points	✓	71.4	0.90
		91%	49 points	✓	70.1	0.87
		91%	43 points	✓	75.7	0.87
		91%	43 points	✓	76.0	0.86
		90%	47 points	✓	72.0	0.85
		89%	42 points	✓	77.0	0.84
		89%	38 points	✓	81.0	0.83
		89%	48 points	✓	71.0	0.83
		89%	46 points	✓	73.3	0.83
		89%	43 points	✓	76.0	0.83
		88%	32 points	✓	87.3	0.82
		88%	38 points	✓	81.0	0.82
		88%	44 points	✓	75.3	0.82
		88%	43 points	✓	76.0	0.82
		87%	41 points	✓	78.0	0.80
		86%	39 points	✓	79.7	0.78
		86%	50 points	✓	69.0	0.78
		84%	38 points	✓	80.8	0.75
		84%	29 points	✓	90.5	0.74
		83%	40 points	✓	78.7	0.73
		83%	27 points	✓	91.7	0.72
		82%	28 points	✓	91.0	0.72
		81%	32 points	✓	87.0	0.70
		81%	30 points	✓	88.8	0.69
		80%	42 points	✓	77.0	0.68
		67%	18 points	✓	101.1	0.43

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.