Essendon v North Melbourne
2024-05-19 13:10:00 +10:00
Docklands

16.10

106

10.6

66

Essendon won by 40 points

IN

Tsatas

Davey Jnr

Shiel

Parish

Jones

Cox

OUT

IN

Dawson

Pink

Bergman

Ford

Taylor

Phillips

McKercher

Archer

Drury

Hardeman

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		88%	44 points	✓	3.7	0.82
Aggregate		85%	38 points	✓	1.8	0.77
		95%	45 points	✓	5.0	0.93
Punters		93%	48 points	✓	8.3	0.90
		93%	45 points	✓	5.3	0.89
		92%	50 points	✓	10.0	0.88
		91%	44 points	✓	4.0	0.86
		91%	48 points	✓	7.8	0.86
		90%	49 points	✓	9.0	0.85
		90%	40 points	✓	0.3	0.84
		89%	41 points	✓	1.0	0.83
		89%	43 points	✓	3.3	0.83
		88%	44 points	✓	3.9	0.82
		87%	36 points	✓	4.1	0.80
		87%	33 points	✓	6.8	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	1.3	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	0.8	0.78
		86%	45 points	✓	5.1	0.78
		86%	37 points	✓	3.5	0.77
		85%	35 points	✓	4.8	0.77
		85%	27 points	✓	13.4	0.76
		84%	37 points	✓	3.2	0.75
		84%	40 points	✓	0.4	0.74
		83%	48 points	✓	8.0	0.73
		83%	28 points	✓	12.0	0.73
		83%	31 points	✓	9.0	0.72
		80%	31 points	✓	9.0	0.68
		75%	33 points	✓	7.0	0.58
		66%	17 points	✓	23.0	0.40
		65%	16 points	✓	24.1	0.39

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.