Sydney v Carlton @ S.C.G.

17.15

117

9.11

Sydney won by 52 points

Campbell

Roberts

OUT

Fantasia

Carroll

Marchbank

Owies

Cerra

Cottrell

Martin

Cowan

OUT

	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10	69%	20 points	✓	32.4	0.47
Aggregate	69%	17 points	✓	34.8	0.46
	75%	17 points	✓	35.2	0.59
	74%	23 points	✓	28.6	0.57
	74%	21 points	✓	31.1	0.56
	73%	22 points	✓	30.4	0.55
	73%	22 points	✓	30.0	0.55
	73%	22 points	✓	29.9	0.55
	73%	25 points	✓	27.1	0.54
	72%	28 points	✓	24.0	0.52
	71%	17 points	✓	35.5	0.51
Punters	71%	16 points	✓	35.9	0.50
	71%	18 points	✓	34.5	0.50
	70%	19 points	✓	33.5	0.49
	70%	13 points	✓	39.0	0.48
	69%	17 points	✓	35.0	0.47
	68%	15 points	✓	36.8	0.45
	68%	16 points	✓	35.8	0.45
	68%	15 points	✓	37.0	0.44
	68%	14 points	✓	37.8	0.44
	68%	17 points	✓	35.2	0.44
	67%	16 points	✓	36.0	0.42
	65%	14 points	✓	38.0	0.38
	64%	18 points	✓	34.0	0.34
	63%	12 points	✓	40.4	0.34
	63%	18 points	✓	34.0	0.33
	63%	13 points	✓	39.0	0.33
	62%	13 points	✓	39.0	0.31
	60%	6 points	✓	46.0	0.27

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.