Collingwood v Adelaide
M.C.G.
12.6
78
11.8
74
Collingwood won by 4 points
IN
Sullivan
Schultz
De Goey
Howe
Markov
Bytel
OUT
IN
Hamill
Murphy
Worrell
Curtin
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s10
|
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 14.1 | 0.46 | |
Aggregate
|
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.45 | |
81% | 32 points | ✓ | 28.4 | 0.69 | ||
80% | 30 points | ✓ | 26.0 | 0.67 | ||
79% | 28 points | ✓ | 24.2 | 0.66 | ||
74% | 21 points | ✓ | 16.9 | 0.57 | ||
74% | 23 points | ✓ | 18.7 | 0.56 | ||
73% | 22 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.55 | ||
72% | 21 points | ✓ | 17.4 | 0.53 | ||
71% | 17 points | ✓ | 13.4 | 0.50 | ||
70% | 18 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.49 | ||
70% | 16 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.49 | ||
69% | 17 points | ✓ | 13.3 | 0.47 | ||
69% | 18 points | ✓ | 13.6 | 0.47 | ||
69% | 16 points | ✓ | 11.5 | 0.47 | ||
69% | 14 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.45 | ||
68% | 20 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.44 | ||
Punters
|
68% | 15 points | ✓ | 10.7 | 0.44 | |
67% | 11 points | ✓ | 7.1 | 0.43 | ||
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.40 | ||
65% | 20 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.38 | ||
65% | 18 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.37 | ||
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.36 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 8.1 | 0.35 | ||
64% | 14 points | ✓ | 10.3 | 0.35 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 6.8 | 0.32 | ||
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 6.8 | 0.28 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.24 | ||
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 2.9 | 0.22 | ||
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.2 | 0.19 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.