Collingwood v Adelaide
2024-05-18 13:45:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

12.6

78

11.8

74

Collingwood won by 4 points

IN

Sullivan

Schultz

De Goey

Howe

Markov

Bytel

OUT

IN

Hamill

Murphy

Worrell

Curtin

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		69%	18 points	✓	14.1	0.46
Aggregate		68%	17 points	✓	13.0	0.45
		81%	32 points	✓	28.4	0.69
		80%	30 points	✓	26.0	0.67
		79%	28 points	✓	24.2	0.66
		74%	21 points	✓	16.9	0.57
		74%	23 points	✓	18.7	0.56
		73%	22 points	✓	18.0	0.55
		72%	21 points	✓	17.4	0.53
		71%	17 points	✓	13.4	0.50
		70%	18 points	✓	14.0	0.49
		70%	16 points	✓	12.0	0.49
		69%	17 points	✓	13.3	0.47
		69%	18 points	✓	13.6	0.47
		69%	16 points	✓	11.5	0.47
		69%	14 points	✓	9.5	0.45
		68%	20 points	✓	16.0	0.44
Punters		68%	15 points	✓	10.7	0.44
		67%	11 points	✓	7.1	0.43
		66%	13 points	✓	9.0	0.40
		65%	20 points	✓	16.0	0.38
		65%	18 points	✓	14.0	0.37
		64%	18 points	✓	14.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	8.1	0.35
		64%	14 points	✓	10.3	0.35
		62%	11 points	✓	6.8	0.32
		61%	11 points	✓	6.8	0.28
		59%	9 points	✓	5.0	0.24
		58%	7 points	✓	2.9	0.22
		57%	5 points	✓	1.2	0.19

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.