Adelaide v Brisbane Lions
Adelaide Oval
13.12
90
13.12
90
Match Drawn
IN
Crouch
Cook
OUT
IN
Morris
Brain
Prior
Ah Chee
McCarthy
Starcevich
Gardiner
Reville
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 5.4 | -0.01 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 2.9 | -0.00 |
|
|
72% | 17 points | ✓ | 16.5 | -0.15 |
|
|
65% | 10 points | ✓ | 10.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 10.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 9.1 | -0.03 |
|
Punters
|
|
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.3 | -0.03 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 8.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 9.3 | -0.02 |
|
|
59% | 11 points | ✓ | 11.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 7.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 6.1 | -0.01 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 5.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✓ | 5.8 | -0.01 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.8 | -0.01 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 3.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✓ | 5.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 0.2 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 1.5 | -0.00 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 2.1 | -0.00 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 3.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 4.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.8 | -0.01 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 5.0 | -0.01 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.6 | -0.01 |
|
|
59% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.0 | -0.02 |
|
|
61% | 12 points | ✓ | 12.1 | -0.04 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.