Hawthorn v St Kilda
York Park
8.10
58
7.11
53
Hawthorn won by 5 points
IN
Serong
Mitchell
Breust
Sicily
Morrison
Ward
OUT
IN
Paton
Henry
Webster
Phillipou
Byrnes
Garcia
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 11.6 | -0.19 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 10.7 | -0.19 |
|
|
68% | 22 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.63 |
|
|
66% | 16 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
63% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.4 | -0.45 |
|
|
63% | 13 points | ✗ | 18.4 | -0.43 |
|
Punters
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.2 | -0.40 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 13.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 7 points | ✗ | 11.9 | -0.37 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 15.7 | -0.36 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.36 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 12.9 | -0.34 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 11.2 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 10 points | ✗ | 15.0 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 10.6 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 8.5 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 7.6 | -0.08 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.1 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 4.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 3.7 | 0.04 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.5 | 0.12 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.9 | 0.13 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.