Collingwood v West Coast
2024-05-12 13:00:00 +10:00
Docklands

15.13

103

5.7

37

Collingwood won by 66 points

IN

Richards

Bytel

Macrae

McInnes

Hoskin-Elliott

Schultz

Mihocek

Elliott

McCreery

Sullivan

OUT

IN

Dewar

Maric

Hunt

Waterman

Yeo

Long

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		85%	39 points	✓	26.8	0.77
Aggregate		86%	40 points	✓	26.3	0.78
		95%	53 points	✓	13.0	0.93
		92%	51 points	✓	15.0	0.88
		92%	45 points	✓	21.5	0.88
		91%	49 points	✓	17.0	0.86
		90%	41 points	✓	24.8	0.85
		90%	46 points	✓	19.9	0.84
		90%	44 points	✓	21.6	0.84
		90%	38 points	✓	27.6	0.84
		89%	52 points	✓	14.0	0.84
		89%	44 points	✓	22.0	0.83
		89%	48 points	✓	18.2	0.83
		89%	61 points	✓	5.0	0.83
		89%	39 points	✓	27.5	0.82
		88%	58 points	✓	8.0	0.82
		88%	36 points	✓	30.2	0.81
		87%	36 points	✓	30.2	0.81
Punters		87%	38 points	✓	27.6	0.81
		87%	37 points	✓	29.0	0.80
		85%	43 points	✓	23.0	0.77
		84%	36 points	✓	29.9	0.75
		84%	34 points	✓	32.0	0.75
		83%	33 points	✓	33.1	0.72
		80%	30 points	✓	35.8	0.67
		78%	27 points	✓	39.0	0.64
		77%	26 points	✓	40.3	0.62
		76%	19 points	✓	46.9	0.61
		74%	26 points	✓	39.9	0.56
		71%	22 points	✓	44.2	0.50

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.