Richmond v Western Bulldogs
2024-05-11 19:30:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

6.6

42

19.19

133

Western Bulldogs won by 91 points

IN

Cumberland

Graham

Balta

Prestia

Baker

Grimes

McIntosh

Campbell

OUT

IN

Freijah

Cleary

Keath

West

Liberatore

Bramble

Baker

Khamis

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		66%	15 points	✓	75.8	0.40
Aggregate		66%	15 points	✓	75.7	0.41
		84%	33 points	✓	58.0	0.75
		77%	26 points	✓	65.0	0.62
		76%	22 points	✓	69.4	0.59
		73%	21 points	✓	70.1	0.54
		71%	21 points	✓	70.0	0.51
		70%	17 points	✓	74.5	0.48
		70%	15 points	✓	76.2	0.48
Punters		69%	17 points	✓	73.7	0.47
		69%	12 points	✓	78.7	0.46
		69%	20 points	✓	71.0	0.46
		69%	16 points	✓	74.7	0.46
		68%	18 points	✓	73.0	0.44
		67%	16 points	✓	75.2	0.43
		67%	21 points	✓	70.0	0.42
		66%	15 points	✓	75.5	0.41
		66%	21 points	✓	70.0	0.40
		64%	12 points	✓	79.0	0.36
		64%	12 points	✓	79.1	0.35
		63%	10 points	✓	80.7	0.34
		63%	10 points	✓	81.5	0.32
		62%	13 points	✓	78.1	0.32
		62%	11 points	✓	80.3	0.32
		62%	10 points	✓	81.0	0.31
		62%	13 points	✓	78.0	0.31
		61%	11 points	✓	80.3	0.29
		57%	7 points	✓	84.2	0.20
		55%	7 points	✓	84.0	0.14
		53%	3 points	✓	87.6	0.09

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.