Carlton v Melbourne
M.C.G.
12.5
77
11.10
76
Carlton won by 1 point
IN
Martin
Hollands
Kemp
McGovern
Young
Owies
Williams
Fantasia
OUT
IN
Bowey
Laurie
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 4.6 | -0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.4 | -0.11 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 8.8 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 11 points | ✗ | 12.0 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 6.9 | -0.27 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 7.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 4 points | ✗ | 4.8 | -0.21 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 5.6 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 5.2 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 5 points | ✗ | 5.8 | -0.10 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.1 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 4.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 2.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✗ | 0.8 | -0.05 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 3.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 1.9 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 1.1 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.2 | 0.03 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 4.6 | 0.18 |
|
|
64% | 11 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.36 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.