Fremantle v Sydney
Perth Stadium
4.15
39
13.9
87
Sydney won by 48 points
IN
Voss
Aish
Switkowski
Darcy
Chapman
Simpson
OUT
IN
Francis
McCartin
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s10
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 43.9 | 0.12 | |
Aggregate
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 44.4 | 0.12 | |
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 36.4 | 0.34 | ||
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.31 | ||
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 40.5 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 7 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.26 | ||
59% | 6 points | ✓ | 42.5 | 0.23 | ||
58% | 9 points | ✓ | 38.6 | 0.22 | ||
58% | 4 points | ✓ | 43.8 | 0.22 | ||
Punters
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 41.5 | 0.21 | |
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 41.7 | 0.19 | ||
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.19 | ||
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.18 | ||
56% | 7 points | ✓ | 41.0 | 0.15 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 43.9 | 0.15 | ||
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.14 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 44.7 | 0.11 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 44.8 | 0.10 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 44.3 | 0.10 | ||
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 45.1 | 0.10 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 46.8 | 0.05 | ||
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 47.0 | 0.05 | ||
51% | 3 points | ✓ | 45.2 | 0.02 | ||
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.01 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 48.4 | -0.01 | ||
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 49.0 | -0.03 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 51.2 | -0.10 | ||
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -0.15 | ||
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 57.0 | -0.29 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.