Gold Coast v North Melbourne
2024-05-11 19:30:00 +10:00
Marrara Oval

17.18

120

7.10

52

Gold Coast won by 68 points

IN

Johnston

Sexton

Jeffrey

Davies

Humphrey

Powell

Swallow

Fiorini

Atkins

Read

OUT

IN

Lazzaro

Phillips

Simpkin

Pink

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		84%	37 points	✓	30.6	0.76
Aggregate		82%	35 points	✓	33.3	0.72
		94%	51 points	✓	17.1	0.92
		93%	49 points	✓	19.0	0.90
		89%	37 points	✓	30.9	0.83
Punters		89%	40 points	✓	27.8	0.82
		88%	46 points	✓	22.0	0.82
		88%	42 points	✓	26.0	0.82
		88%	41 points	✓	27.0	0.81
		87%	40 points	✓	28.1	0.80
		87%	39 points	✓	28.7	0.79
		87%	39 points	✓	28.6	0.79
		85%	32 points	✓	36.3	0.77
		85%	34 points	✓	34.5	0.76
		84%	33 points	✓	35.0	0.76
		83%	39 points	✓	28.7	0.72
		82%	32 points	✓	35.9	0.71
		82%	33 points	✓	35.0	0.71
		81%	37 points	✓	31.3	0.70
		80%	30 points	✓	37.5	0.69
		80%	31 points	✓	36.9	0.68
		80%	27 points	✓	41.0	0.68
		79%	30 points	✓	38.0	0.66
		78%	43 points	✓	25.0	0.65
		76%	22 points	✓	46.4	0.60
		75%	35 points	✓	33.0	0.59
		75%	26 points	✓	42.0	0.58
		74%	33 points	✓	35.0	0.57
		73%	15 points	✓	53.0	0.55
		64%	14 points	✓	53.7	0.35

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.