Fremantle v Brisbane Lions
Perth Stadium
14.9
93
10.10
70
Fremantle won by 23 points
IN
McDonald
Sharp
Fyfe
Hughes
Banfield
Schultz
Henry
Sturt
Wagner
Hamling
OUT
IN
Answerth
Robertson
McKenna
Neale
Coleman
Payne
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 26.5 | -0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 26.3 | -0.11 |
|
|
65% | 11 points | ✗ | 34.2 | -0.52 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 9 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
62% | 8 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.38 |
|
|
60% | 13 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.33 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 32.2 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.25 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✗ | 30.5 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 30.1 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 28.7 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 28.2 | -0.19 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 28.5 | -0.17 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 26.3 | -0.14 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✗ | 27.5 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 27.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 24.2 | -0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 22.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 21.8 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
51% | 3 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 20.6 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 19.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 19.1 | 0.13 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 19.2 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 18.2 | 0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.