Geelong v St Kilda
2024-03-16 19:30:00 +11:00
Kardinia Park

10.16

76

9.14

68

Geelong won by 8 points

IN

Clark

Bruhn

Henry

Tuohy

Duncan

Close

Hawkins

Cameron

Blicavs

Smith

Parfitt

Bews

Bowes

Menegola

Knevitt

Neale

Mullin

Conway

OUT

IN

Wilson

Henry

Stocker

Byrnes

Bonner

Membrey

Sinclair

Gresham

Butler

Webster

Clark

Caminiti

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	15 points	✓	7.4	0.39
Aggregate		65%	14 points	✓	5.9	0.39
		78%	23 points	✓	14.5	0.65
		76%	22 points	✓	13.8	0.60
		75%	23 points	✓	15.0	0.58
		72%	21 points	✓	12.5	0.52
		71%	20 points	✓	11.8	0.50
		69%	17 points	✓	9.3	0.47
		69%	18 points	✓	10.0	0.46
		69%	18 points	✓	10.0	0.46
Punters		69%	15 points	✓	7.0	0.46
		67%	15 points	✓	7.3	0.43
		67%	14 points	✓	5.9	0.42
		67%	17 points	✓	9.4	0.41
		65%	14 points	✓	5.8	0.39
		65%	14 points	✓	6.0	0.38
		65%	10 points	✓	2.5	0.37
		64%	8 points	✓	0.0	0.36
		63%	12 points	✓	4.0	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	3.9	0.34
		62%	15 points	✓	7.0	0.30
		62%	10 points	✓	2.0	0.30
		61%	12 points	✓	4.0	0.29
		60%	15 points	✓	7.0	0.26
		60%	8 points	✓	0.0	0.26
		60%	1 point	✓	7.0	0.26
		59%	15 points	✓	6.8	0.25
		59%	7 points	✓	1.3	0.24
		59%	9 points	✓	0.6	0.23
		54%	5 points	✓	3.0	0.11

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.