Essendon v Hawthorn
M.C.G.
17.5
107
11.17
83
Essendon won by 24 points
IN
Reid
Jones
Duursma
Kelly
Guelfi
McKay
Wright
Stringer
Gresham
Caldwell
Goldstein
Parish
Hind
Zerk-Thatcher
Laverde
Hobbs
Phillips
Weideman
Snelling
Bryan
Baldwin
Tsatas
OUT
IN
Watson
D'Ambrosio
Mackenzie
Frost
Chol
Ginnivan
Gunston
Lewis
Day
Morrison
Koschitzke
Blanck
Maginness
Hustwaite
Serong
Ryan
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
52% | 0 points | ✗ | 24.4 | -0.05 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 25.4 | -0.07 |
|
|
66% | 11 points | ✗ | 34.5 | -0.58 |
|
|
66% | 14 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.56 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 33.6 | -0.35 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✗ | 32.0 | -0.32 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 31.9 | -0.29 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 31.7 | -0.28 |
|
|
58% | 9 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 29.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 31.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 29.2 | -0.18 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 28.2 | -0.15 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 24.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 23.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 23.2 | 0.01 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.07 |
|
Punters
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 21.8 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 21.5 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 20.3 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 6 points | ✓ | 18.4 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 20.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 10 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
55% | 8 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 19.0 | 0.17 |
|
|
61% | 14 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.28 |
|
|
64% | 7 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.35 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.