Greater Western Sydney v North Melbourne
2024-03-16 16:35:00 +11:00
Sydney Showground

17.19

121

13.4

82

Greater Western Sydney won by 39 points

IN

Cadman

Callaghan

Perryman

Ward

Haynes

McMullin

OUT

IN

Pink

Duursma

McKercher

Wardlaw

Coleman-Jones

Stephens

Stephenson

Fisher

Zurhaar

Davies-Uniacke

Goldstein

Simpkin

Greenwood

McKay

Thomas

Taylor

Phillips

Turner

Perez

Bergman

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		90%	52 points	✓	12.9	0.84
Aggregate		88%	45 points	✓	6.2	0.81
		97%	63 points	✓	24.0	0.96
		96%	56 points	✓	16.9	0.94
		96%	68 points	✓	28.6	0.94
		95%	61 points	✓	22.0	0.93
		94%	57 points	✓	17.8	0.91
		94%	48 points	✓	9.5	0.90
Punters		93%	50 points	✓	10.9	0.89
		93%	56 points	✓	17.0	0.89
		92%	51 points	✓	11.7	0.88
		92%	53 points	✓	13.8	0.88
		92%	48 points	✓	9.2	0.88
		90%	36 points	✓	2.6	0.85
		89%	51 points	✓	12.0	0.84
		89%	62 points	✓	23.0	0.83
		87%	41 points	✓	1.5	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	0.4	0.79
		86%	44 points	✓	5.0	0.78
		86%	36 points	✓	3.0	0.78
		84%	51 points	✓	12.0	0.76
		84%	27 points	✓	12.0	0.75
		84%	38 points	✓	1.0	0.75
		84%	33 points	✓	6.0	0.74
		83%	41 points	✓	1.9	0.74
		82%	34 points	✓	4.6	0.71
		80%	26 points	✓	13.1	0.68
		80%	29 points	✓	10.0	0.68
		76%	45 points	✓	6.4	0.61
		70%	21 points	✓	18.4	0.48

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.