Carlton v Richmond
2024-03-14 19:30:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

12.14

86

12.9

81

Carlton won by 5 points

IN

Owies

Docherty

OUT

IN

Lynch

Pickett

Martin

Nankervis

Koschitzke

Ryan

Banks

Naismith

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		60%	10 points	✓	5.1	0.25
Aggregate		62%	11 points	✓	6.5	0.32
		79%	24 points	✓	19.0	0.65
		77%	27 points	✓	22.0	0.62
		75%	23 points	✓	18.0	0.58
		71%	19 points	✓	13.5	0.50
		70%	15 points	✓	9.6	0.49
		67%	18 points	✓	13.2	0.43
		67%	12 points	✓	7.0	0.42
Punters		67%	13 points	✓	8.2	0.41
		66%	9 points	✓	4.3	0.41
		65%	20 points	✓	15.0	0.38
		65%	16 points	✓	11.0	0.38
		65%	20 points	✓	15.0	0.38
		64%	17 points	✓	12.0	0.35
		63%	11 points	✓	6.0	0.33
		61%	8 points	✓	3.0	0.28
		60%	8 points	✓	3.3	0.25
		59%	8 points	✓	3.0	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	2.3	0.24
		59%	7 points	✓	1.6	0.23
		58%	7 points	✓	2.3	0.22
		58%	6 points	✓	1.0	0.20
		56%	6 points	✓	0.9	0.16
		56%	5 points	✓	0.2	0.16
		55%	5 points	✓	0.0	0.14
		53%	5 points	✓	0.0	0.09
		52%	3 points	✓	1.9	0.05
		52%	1 point	✓	3.6	0.05
		50%	0 points	✓	5.0	0.00

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.