Gold Coast v Adelaide
Carrara
8.12
60
8.6
54
Gold Coast won by 6 points
IN
Rosas
MacPherson
OUT
IN
Burgess
Sholl
Butts
Berry
Jones
Walker
Soligo
Schoenberg
Parnell
Keane
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 3.9 | 0.08 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.1 | 0.05 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 4.8 | 0.33 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 3.8 | 0.32 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.27 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 0.8 | 0.25 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 1.4 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.6 | 0.14 |
|
|
55% | 6 points | ✓ | 0.0 | 0.13 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.4 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 3.5 | 0.11 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 3.1 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 3.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 8 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 4 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 6.0 | -0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 6.2 | -0.01 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.04 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✗ | 8.3 | -0.11 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 9.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
56% | 10 points | ✗ | 15.7 | -0.19 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.2 | -0.22 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 12.5 | -0.26 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.