Melbourne v Western Bulldogs
2024-03-17 13:00:00 +11:00
M.C.G.

16.13

109

9.10

64

Melbourne won by 45 points

IN

Hore

McDonald

Chandler

Brown

Pickett

Bowey

Spargo

Tomlinson

Schache

Laurie

OUT

IN

Gallagher

Sanders

Coffield

Khamis

McNeil

Bramble

Johannisen

Harmes

Daniel

Keath

Scott

Baker

Poulter

Crozier

O'Donnell

McLean

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		59%	10 points	✓	35.5	0.24
Aggregate		58%	8 points	✓	37.2	0.22
		67%	11 points	✓	34.0	0.43
		66%	13 points	✓	31.7	0.40
		65%	15 points	✓	30.4	0.38
		65%	13 points	✓	31.8	0.37
Punters		63%	10 points	✓	35.2	0.33
		62%	10 points	✓	35.0	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	35.5	0.30
		61%	11 points	✓	34.2	0.28
		60%	16 points	✓	29.1	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	36.5	0.26
		58%	5 points	✓	40.0	0.21
		57%	6 points	✓	38.8	0.19
		57%	9 points	✓	36.0	0.19
		57%	10 points	✓	35.0	0.19
		57%	6 points	✓	39.5	0.19
		57%	5 points	✓	40.1	0.18
		57%	6 points	✓	39.1	0.18
		56%	8 points	✓	37.0	0.17
		56%	4 points	✓	40.6	0.17
		56%	6 points	✓	39.0	0.16
		56%	8 points	✓	37.0	0.16
		56%	11 points	✓	34.0	0.15
		55%	6 points	✓	39.0	0.14
		54%	4 points	✓	41.2	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	41.0	0.11
		53%	3 points	✓	41.7	0.09
		53%	2 points	✓	43.0	0.08
		52%	1 point	✗	46.0	-0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.