Collingwood v St Kilda
2023-04-16 16:50:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

10.10

70

9.10

64

Collingwood won by 6 points

IN

Markov

Ginnivan

De Goey

McInnes

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		61%	10 points	✓	4.1	0.29
Aggregate		60%	9 points	✓	2.8	0.26
		73%	21 points	✓	15.4	0.55
		68%	16 points	✓	9.8	0.44
		66%	12 points	✓	6.0	0.40
		65%	13 points	✓	7.2	0.39
		65%	15 points	✓	9.0	0.38
		64%	12 points	✓	6.2	0.36
Punters		64%	11 points	✓	4.8	0.36
		63%	11 points	✓	5.1	0.33
		63%	18 points	✓	12.0	0.33
		63%	11 points	✓	4.7	0.33
		62%	12 points	✓	5.6	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	4.0	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	3.0	0.29
		60%	9 points	✓	3.0	0.26
		60%	7 points	✓	0.8	0.25
		60%	8 points	✓	1.5	0.25
		59%	9 points	✓	3.0	0.24
		58%	10 points	✓	4.0	0.21
		56%	5 points	✓	1.2	0.17
		56%	4 points	✓	2.0	0.17
		55%	4 points	✓	1.5	0.13
		52%	2 points	✓	3.6	0.07
		51%	0 points	✗	6.0	-0.02
		52%	2 points	✗	8.0	-0.06
		58%	6 points	✗	12.2	-0.24

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.