Essendon v Melbourne
Adelaide Oval
15.14
104
11.11
77
Essendon won by 27 points
IN
Snelling
Heppell
Weideman
Davey Jnr
OUT
IN
Tomlinson
Melksham
Lever
Hibberd
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 43.3 | -0.63 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
70% | 19 points | ✗ | 45.8 | -0.71 |
|
|
87% | 38 points | ✗ | 64.7 | -1.91 |
|
|
79% | 28 points | ✗ | 55.0 | -1.25 |
|
|
76% | 20 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -1.08 |
|
|
76% | 35 points | ✗ | 62.0 | -1.05 |
|
|
75% | 24 points | ✗ | 51.2 | -1.02 |
|
|
75% | 21 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -1.00 |
|
|
74% | 32 points | ✗ | 59.0 | -0.94 |
|
|
74% | 21 points | ✗ | 48.2 | -0.92 |
|
|
72% | 24 points | ✗ | 50.9 | -0.84 |
|
|
72% | 17 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.82 |
|
|
72% | 20 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.81 |
|
Punters
|
|
71% | 20 points | ✗ | 46.9 | -0.80 |
|
|
71% | 21 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.79 |
|
|
70% | 18 points | ✗ | 44.6 | -0.74 |
|
|
69% | 16 points | ✗ | 42.6 | -0.67 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✗ | 43.3 | -0.63 |
|
|
67% | 15 points | ✗ | 41.7 | -0.59 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 41.9 | -0.54 |
|
|
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 41.5 | -0.54 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 39.1 | -0.46 |
|
|
63% | 14 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.43 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 36.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✗ | 37.3 | -0.33 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 33.0 | -0.25 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 30.2 | -0.11 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.