Adelaide v Carlton
Adelaide Oval
18.10
118
9.8
62
Adelaide won by 56 points
IN
Pedlar
Fogarty
McHenry
Gollant
OUT
IN
Plowman
Acres
Kennedy
Walsh
Docherty
O'Brien
McGovern
Honey
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 55.6 | 0.01 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 57.5 | -0.04 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 63.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
58% | 5 points | ✗ | 61.5 | -0.24 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 61.5 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 61.6 | -0.20 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 60.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 60.4 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 59.1 | -0.11 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.09 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 58.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 58.5 | -0.07 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 58.7 | -0.07 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 58.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
50% | 7 points | ✗ | 63.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 55.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 55.8 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 55.1 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 54.7 | 0.05 |
|
|
53% | 1 point | ✓ | 55.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 53.3 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 53.6 | 0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 53.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 53.2 | 0.10 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 48.6 | 0.22 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.