Port Adelaide v Western Bulldogs
2023-04-15 19:50:00 +10:00
Adelaide Oval

10.10

70

8.8

56

Port Adelaide won by 14 points

IN

Burton

Byrne-Jones

Jonas

Mead

OUT

IN

Hannan

O'Brien

Duryea

Weightman

Smith

Keath

Crozier

McComb

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		65%	14 points	✓	0.1	0.38
Aggregate		64%	12 points	✓	2.1	0.35
		74%	23 points	✓	9.0	0.57
		69%	18 points	✓	4.5	0.47
		69%	18 points	✓	4.3	0.47
		69%	16 points	✓	2.0	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	0.8	0.44
		67%	15 points	✓	1.0	0.43
Punters		66%	13 points	✓	1.2	0.40
		65%	14 points	✓	0.0	0.39
		65%	1 point	✓	13.0	0.39
		65%	12 points	✓	2.4	0.38
		63%	11 points	✓	3.0	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	2.4	0.34
		63%	11 points	✓	3.0	0.33
		62%	11 points	✓	3.1	0.32
		62%	16 points	✓	2.0	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	4.5	0.30
		61%	14 points	✓	0.0	0.29
		61%	15 points	✓	1.0	0.29
		61%	11 points	✓	2.8	0.29
		61%	8 points	✓	6.0	0.28
		60%	8 points	✓	6.5	0.27
		60%	10 points	✓	4.0	0.26
		59%	9 points	✓	4.8	0.24
		59%	8 points	✓	6.4	0.24
		52%	1 point	✓	13.0	0.06

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.