Richmond v Sydney
Adelaide Oval
11.12
78
18.14
122
Sydney won by 44 points
IN
Miller
Cotchin
Riewoldt
Nankervis
Lynch
Graham
OUT
IN
Warner
Roberts
McLean
Fox
Franklin
McCartin
Rampe
McCartin
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 39.6 | 0.13 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 39.3 | 0.14 |
|
|
73% | 22 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.55 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✓ | 32.9 | 0.34 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.33 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 34.5 | 0.28 |
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 36.5 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.22 |
|
Punters
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 36.7 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 4 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 37.4 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 37.5 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 8 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 39.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 40.5 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 40.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 40.1 | 0.11 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 42.0 | 0.07 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 42.5 | 0.06 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 42.7 | 0.04 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 43.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
50% | 6 points | ✓ | 38.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 44.7 | -0.02 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 45.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 46.4 | -0.08 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 48.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✗ | 47.3 | -0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.