Brisbane Lions v North Melbourne
2023-04-15 13:10:00 +10:00
Adelaide Hills

22.20

152

12.5

77

Brisbane Lions won by 75 points

IN

Fort

Rich

Gunston

Prior

OUT

IN

McKay

Logue

Curtis

Bonar

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		78%	28 points	✓	47.0	0.65
Aggregate		81%	33 points	✓	41.9	0.70
		91%	46 points	✓	28.8	0.86
		89%	44 points	✓	31.0	0.83
		89%	44 points	✓	31.0	0.83
		88%	39 points	✓	36.0	0.82
		87%	36 points	✓	39.5	0.79
		86%	53 points	✓	22.0	0.78
		85%	34 points	✓	40.8	0.77
		85%	52 points	✓	23.0	0.77
		85%	36 points	✓	39.0	0.76
		84%	37 points	✓	38.0	0.76
Punters		82%	28 points	✓	47.3	0.71
		82%	32 points	✓	43.0	0.70
		81%	31 points	✓	44.1	0.70
		80%	28 points	✓	47.3	0.68
		80%	27 points	✓	48.0	0.68
		80%	35 points	✓	40.3	0.67
		80%	31 points	✓	43.6	0.67
		80%	30 points	✓	44.8	0.67
		79%	27 points	✓	47.8	0.65
		79%	28 points	✓	46.9	0.65
		76%	21 points	✓	54.0	0.60
		75%	22 points	✓	53.0	0.58
		73%	29 points	✓	46.0	0.55
		72%	19 points	✓	56.0	0.53
		69%	19 points	✓	55.6	0.45

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.