Greater Western Sydney v Hawthorn
Norwood Oval
10.17
77
11.9
75
Greater Western Sydney won by 2 points
IN
Cadman
Hamilton
Peatling
O'Halloran
Daniels
Riccardi
Stone
Rowston
OUT
IN
Long
Mitchell
Grainger-Barras
Wingard
Scrimshaw
Day
Maginness
Mackenzie
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.28 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.5 | 0.24 |
|
|
70% | 17 points | ✓ | 14.5 | 0.48 |
|
Punters
|
|
68% | 15 points | ✓ | 13.4 | 0.45 |
|
|
68% | 14 points | ✓ | 11.8 | 0.44 |
|
|
66% | 17 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.40 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 11.3 | 0.40 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 11.6 | 0.39 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
64% | 19 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.36 |
|
|
61% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.4 | 0.29 |
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.29 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 6.7 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 10 points | ✓ | 7.7 | 0.26 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.5 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
59% | 12 points | ✓ | 10.0 | 0.24 |
|
|
58% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 8 points | ✓ | 5.5 | 0.20 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.18 |
|
|
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.08 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 1.1 | 0.03 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 2.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✗ | 13.0 | -0.40 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.