Collingwood v Greater Western Sydney
2023-05-14 16:40:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

18.12

120

7.13

55

Collingwood won by 65 points

IN

Ginnivan

Frampton

OUT

IN

Fleeton

Peatling

Ward

Cumming

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		82%	32 points	✓	32.8	0.72
Aggregate		83%	34 points	✓	30.9	0.72
		92%	55 points	✓	10.0	0.88
		89%	31 points	✓	34.0	0.84
		89%	46 points	✓	19.4	0.84
		88%	42 points	✓	22.5	0.81
		87%	46 points	✓	19.5	0.80
		87%	35 points	✓	30.0	0.80
		86%	37 points	✓	27.8	0.79
Punters		86%	35 points	✓	30.4	0.79
		86%	35 points	✓	30.1	0.79
		86%	39 points	✓	26.0	0.78
		84%	36 points	✓	28.6	0.75
		84%	31 points	✓	33.7	0.75
		84%	35 points	✓	29.9	0.75
		83%	33 points	✓	32.1	0.73
		82%	29 points	✓	36.2	0.71
		80%	35 points	✓	29.9	0.68
		80%	26 points	✓	39.5	0.67
		79%	21 points	✓	44.2	0.66
		78%	37 points	✓	28.0	0.65
		78%	27 points	✓	38.2	0.64
		77%	37 points	✓	28.0	0.62
		76%	24 points	✓	41.0	0.61
		76%	32 points	✓	33.0	0.60
		76%	29 points	✓	36.0	0.60
		69%	20 points	✓	44.8	0.47

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.