Carlton v Western Bulldogs
Docklands
8.11
59
11.13
79
Western Bulldogs won by 20 points
IN
Cottrell
Owies
Kennedy
Curnow
Honey
Kemp
OUT
IN
O'Donnell
Treloar
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.1 | -0.08 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 19.2 | 0.02 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 10.7 | 0.30 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 10.6 | 0.27 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
59% | 9 points | ✓ | 11.1 | 0.23 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.15 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 15.8 | 0.12 |
|
|
54% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.11 |
|
|
54% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.10 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.2 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.2 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 18.5 | 0.04 |
|
|
50% | 6 points | ✓ | 14.0 | 0.00 |
|
Punters
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 20.9 | -0.05 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.2 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 22.8 | -0.10 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 23.9 | -0.12 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.17 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 24.8 | -0.19 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.4 | -0.21 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 26.1 | -0.23 |
|
|
63% | 12 points | ✗ | 32.2 | -0.43 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.