North Melbourne v Port Adelaide
2023-05-13 14:10:00 +10:00
Bellerive Oval

10.5

65

20.15

135

Port Adelaide won by 70 points

IN

Greenwood

Cunnington

OUT

IN

Lord

Evans

Farrell

Dixon

Byrne-Jones

Rioli

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		81%	31 points	✓	39.5	0.70
Aggregate		80%	31 points	✓	39.2	0.68
		88%	42 points	✓	28.0	0.82
		86%	33 points	✓	37.5	0.77
		85%	32 points	✓	38.0	0.76
		84%	35 points	✓	35.0	0.76
		84%	34 points	✓	35.7	0.74
		83%	36 points	✓	34.0	0.74
		83%	33 points	✓	37.3	0.73
		82%	30 points	✓	40.2	0.72
		82%	29 points	✓	41.0	0.71
		82%	24 points	✓	46.0	0.71
		81%	29 points	✓	40.6	0.70
		81%	37 points	✓	33.3	0.70
Punters		81%	30 points	✓	40.2	0.69
		81%	29 points	✓	41.0	0.69
		80%	35 points	✓	35.0	0.69
		80%	33 points	✓	37.0	0.68
		79%	26 points	✓	44.4	0.66
		79%	41 points	✓	29.0	0.66
		79%	26 points	✓	44.2	0.66
		77%	26 points	✓	44.3	0.62
		76%	32 points	✓	38.4	0.61
		76%	34 points	✓	36.0	0.60
		75%	25 points	✓	45.3	0.59
		73%	25 points	✓	45.0	0.55
		66%	16 points	✓	53.8	0.39

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.