Adelaide v St Kilda
Adelaide Oval
19.7
121
10.9
69
Adelaide won by 52 points
IN
Parnell
Murray
OUT
IN
Caminiti
Gresham
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 45.5 | 0.19 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 48.3 | 0.13 |
|
|
68% | 16 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.45 |
|
|
66% | 13 points | ✓ | 39.2 | 0.40 |
|
|
63% | 8 points | ✓ | 43.6 | 0.33 |
|
|
62% | 11 points | ✓ | 41.3 | 0.32 |
|
Punters
|
|
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 44.3 | 0.28 |
|
|
61% | 9 points | ✓ | 43.4 | 0.28 |
|
|
60% | 8 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.26 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 44.0 | 0.21 |
|
|
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 44.1 | 0.21 |
|
|
56% | 3 points | ✓ | 49.1 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 46.9 | 0.17 |
|
|
56% | 9 points | ✓ | 43.0 | 0.16 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.14 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 49.4 | 0.09 |
|
|
53% | 4 points | ✓ | 48.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✓ | 51.0 | 0.05 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 51.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 52.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 1 point | ✗ | 53.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 4 points | ✗ | 55.5 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 52.9 | -0.03 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 56.8 | -0.18 |
|
|
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 57.5 | -0.23 |
|
|
60% | 9 points | ✗ | 61.0 | -0.32 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.