Brisbane Lions v Essendon
2023-05-13 19:25:00 +10:00
Gabba

12.15

87

6.9

45

Brisbane Lions won by 42 points

IN

Zorko

Answerth

OUT

IN

Baldwin

Menzie

D'Ambrosio

Durham

Parish

Ridley

Kelly

Davey Jnr

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		76%	25 points	✓	17.0	0.60
Aggregate		75%	24 points	✓	17.8	0.58
Punters		83%	31 points	✓	11.1	0.73
		82%	33 points	✓	9.4	0.71
		81%	32 points	✓	10.0	0.70
		80%	18 points	✓	24.0	0.68
		80%	27 points	✓	15.1	0.68
		80%	30 points	✓	11.8	0.67
		79%	26 points	✓	15.7	0.67
		79%	31 points	✓	10.7	0.66
		79%	25 points	✓	17.0	0.66
		78%	26 points	✓	16.2	0.65
		78%	26 points	✓	15.6	0.64
		78%	25 points	✓	16.9	0.64
		76%	26 points	✓	16.0	0.60
		75%	22 points	✓	20.0	0.58
		74%	23 points	✓	19.5	0.57
		73%	32 points	✓	10.0	0.54
		72%	20 points	✓	21.6	0.53
		72%	23 points	✓	18.6	0.52
		71%	14 points	✓	28.1	0.50
		70%	27 points	✓	15.0	0.49
		70%	26 points	✓	16.0	0.49
		70%	18 points	✓	24.1	0.48
		70%	19 points	✓	23.5	0.48
		63%	14 points	✓	28.4	0.34
		61%	12 points	✓	30.0	0.29

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.