Richmond v Geelong
M.C.G.
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16.6
102
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11.12
78
Richmond won by 24 points
IN
Mansell
Cotchin
Cumberland
Clarke
OUT
IN
Dempsey
Parfitt
Dangerfield
Close
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
s10
|
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62% | 11 points | ✗ | 35.2 | -0.40 |
Aggregate
|
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66% | 15 points | ✗ | 38.5 | -0.55 |
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79% | 29 points | ✗ | 53.0 | -1.25 |
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79% | 26 points | ✗ | 50.4 | -1.24 |
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76% | 23 points | ✗ | 47.2 | -1.08 |
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75% | 12 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -1.03 |
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75% | 17 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.98 |
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73% | 24 points | ✗ | 48.3 | -0.90 |
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73% | 21 points | ✗ | 45.0 | -0.90 |
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72% | 23 points | ✗ | 47.0 | -0.84 |
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70% | 26 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.76 |
Punters
|
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68% | 15 points | ✗ | 38.8 | -0.63 |
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67% | 22 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.60 |
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66% | 17 points | ✗ | 41.2 | -0.57 |
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66% | 15 points | ✗ | 39.2 | -0.55 |
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66% | 14 points | ✗ | 37.5 | -0.54 |
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65% | 14 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.52 |
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63% | 14 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.43 |
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62% | 9 points | ✗ | 33.4 | -0.40 |
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62% | 10 points | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.39 |
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60% | 8 points | ✗ | 32.3 | -0.33 |
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58% | 7 points | ✗ | 30.9 | -0.26 |
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57% | 8 points | ✗ | 31.5 | -0.23 |
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56% | 5 points | ✗ | 29.3 | -0.19 |
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56% | 5 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.18 |
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54% | 3 points | ✗ | 27.3 | -0.11 |
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56% | 5 points | ✓ | 19.1 | 0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.