Geelong v Hawthorn
2023-04-10 15:20:00 +10:00
M.C.G.

19.13

127

6.9

45

Geelong won by 82 points

IN

Kolodjashnij

Rohan

Duncan

Stanley

De Koning

Bruhn

Ceglar

Henry

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		78%	28 points	✓	53.6	0.65
Aggregate		79%	30 points	✓	52.0	0.66
		92%	52 points	✓	30.0	0.88
		89%	39 points	✓	43.0	0.83
		86%	39 points	✓	43.0	0.78
Punters		85%	33 points	✓	49.3	0.77
		85%	39 points	✓	43.0	0.77
		85%	32 points	✓	50.0	0.76
		85%	34 points	✓	48.5	0.76
		82%	35 points	✓	47.1	0.72
		81%	31 points	✓	50.9	0.70
		81%	29 points	✓	53.3	0.70
		80%	31 points	✓	51.0	0.68
		80%	28 points	✓	54.0	0.68
		80%	49 points	✓	33.0	0.68
		79%	30 points	✓	52.5	0.66
		79%	28 points	✓	53.8	0.65
		77%	25 points	✓	57.0	0.62
		76%	23 points	✓	58.8	0.60
		75%	23 points	✓	58.7	0.59
		75%	33 points	✓	49.0	0.58
		74%	21 points	✓	61.4	0.56
		73%	21 points	✓	60.7	0.55
		73%	29 points	✓	53.0	0.55
		67%	17 points	✓	64.7	0.41
		66%	14 points	✓	68.4	0.41
		64%	15 points	✓	67.1	0.36

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.