Adelaide v Fremantle
Adelaide Oval
17.9
111
10.12
72
Adelaide won by 39 points
IN
Jones
McHenry
Berry
Pedlar
OUT
IN
Walker
Banfield
Frederick
Chapman
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 32.6 | 0.19 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 37.1 | 0.08 |
|
|
65% | 14 points | ✓ | 24.7 | 0.38 |
|
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 26.2 | 0.36 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 26.8 | 0.36 |
|
|
63% | 10 points | ✓ | 28.6 | 0.32 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✓ | 29.0 | 0.30 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 28.7 | 0.28 |
|
Punters
|
|
59% | 7 points | ✓ | 32.2 | 0.25 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✓ | 34.0 | 0.18 |
|
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 34.2 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 34.6 | 0.15 |
|
|
55% | 3 points | ✓ | 36.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 38.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 38.9 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 2 points | ✓ | 37.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 41.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 40.6 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 40.0 | -0.06 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 41.5 | -0.07 |
|
|
53% | 11 points | ✗ | 50.0 | -0.08 |
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 41.7 | -0.09 |
|
|
55% | 7 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.15 |
|
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.26 |
|
|
64% | 12 points | ✗ | 51.4 | -0.49 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.