North Melbourne v Carlton
2023-04-07 16:20:00 +10:00
Docklands

11.18

84

16.11

107

Carlton won by 23 points

IN

Bonar

Tucker

Simpkin

Davies-Uniacke

Greenwood

Logue

Bergman

Goater

OUT

IN

Honey

O'Brien

Acres

Owies

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		77%	26 points	✓	3.1	0.62
Aggregate		80%	31 points	✓	8.0	0.67
		92%	49 points	✓	26.0	0.88
		91%	47 points	✓	23.7	0.87
		85%	37 points	✓	14.4	0.77
		85%	49 points	✓	26.0	0.77
		84%	36 points	✓	13.0	0.75
		84%	37 points	✓	14.0	0.75
		83%	48 points	✓	25.0	0.73
		82%	33 points	✓	9.9	0.72
		82%	32 points	✓	8.7	0.71
Punters		82%	30 points	✓	6.6	0.71
		81%	27 points	✓	3.7	0.70
		81%	30 points	✓	7.1	0.69
		80%	28 points	✓	4.7	0.69
		79%	26 points	✓	3.2	0.66
		78%	27 points	✓	4.3	0.65
		78%	32 points	✓	9.2	0.64
		78%	25 points	✓	2.0	0.64
		78%	25 points	✓	1.5	0.64
		78%	26 points	✓	3.0	0.63
		77%	27 points	✓	3.5	0.62
		74%	25 points	✓	2.2	0.57
		74%	26 points	✓	3.0	0.57
		73%	20 points	✓	3.5	0.54
		71%	23 points	✓	0.0	0.51
		62%	12 points	✓	10.8	0.31

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.