Brisbane Lions v Collingwood
Gabba
18.8
116
11.17
83
Brisbane Lions won by 33 points
IN
Prior
Fort
OUT
IN
McInnes
Cameron
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
s10
|
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.10 |
|
Aggregate
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 34.8 | -0.07 |
|
|
63% | 11 points | ✗ | 43.8 | -0.44 |
|
|
62% | 10 points | ✗ | 42.5 | -0.38 |
|
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.37 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 39.1 | -0.23 |
|
|
57% | 5 points | ✗ | 38.0 | -0.22 |
|
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.21 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 39.0 | -0.20 |
|
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 38.6 | -0.17 |
|
|
54% | 4 points | ✗ | 37.4 | -0.13 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.12 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.07 |
|
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 35.5 | -0.04 |
|
Punters
|
|
51% | 2 points | ✗ | 34.8 | -0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 33.6 | -0.02 |
|
|
50% | 6 points | ✓ | 27.0 | 0.00 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 32.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 32.7 | 0.01 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 32.4 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 32.3 | 0.02 |
|
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.03 |
|
|
52% | 2 points | ✓ | 31.5 | 0.05 |
|
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.08 |
|
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 30.1 | 0.10 |
|
|
54% | 1 point | ✓ | 32.0 | 0.12 |
|
|
59% | 12 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.23 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.