Sydney v Port Adelaide

S.C.G.
9.10
64
9.12
66

Port Adelaide won by 2 points

IN
Williams
McEntee
Mead
McKenzie
Byrne-Jones
Bonner
Clurey
Jones
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
s10
Sydney
70% 19 points 20.9-0.72
Aggregate
Sydney
71% 19 points 21.0-0.76
Don't Blame the Data
Sydney
80% 25 points 27.4-1.31
Hyperion
Sydney
80% 30 points 32.0-1.30
Elo Predicts!
Sydney
79% 10 points 12.0-1.27
The Flag
Sydney
75% 22 points 23.6-0.98
Squiggle
Sydney
75% 24 points 26.0-0.97
Graft
Sydney
74% 31 points 33.0-0.93
The Footycast
Sydney
73% 25 points 27.3-0.90
Punters
Sydney
73% 20 points 21.7-0.89
The Wooden Finger
Sydney
73% 22 points 24.0-0.89
Matter of Stats
Sydney
72% 20 points 22.0-0.85
Live Ladders
Sydney
71% 18 points 20.0-0.78
AFLalytics
Sydney
71% 19 points 21.1-0.78
AFL Scorigami
Sydney
71% 18 points 19.8-0.78
The Cruncher
Sydney
70% 18 points 19.6-0.74
Data by Josh
Sydney
70% 17 points 19.0-0.74
PlusSixOne
Sydney
68% 19 points 21.0-0.65
FMI
Sydney
68% 23 points 25.0-0.64
Cheap Stats
Sydney
67% 22 points 24.0-0.60
Wheelo Ratings
Sydney
66% 14 points 15.7-0.57
AFL Lab
Sydney
66% 16 points 17.8-0.57
Glicko Ratings
Sydney
66% 14 points 15.8-0.55
Massey Ratings
Sydney
66% 14 points 15.5-0.54
Stattraction
Sydney
65% 13 points 14.5-0.52
Drop Kick Data
Sydney
65% 13 points 15.4-0.52
ZaphBot
Sydney
60% 10 points 12.0-0.32

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 4, 2023