St Kilda v Gold Coast
2023-04-08 19:30:00 +10:00
Docklands

17.11

113

8.12

60

St Kilda won by 53 points

IN

Paton

Webster

OUT

IN

Moyle

Humphrey

Andrew

Witts

Farrar

Flanders

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		67%	16 points	✓	36.8	0.43
Aggregate		68%	16 points	✓	37.1	0.43
		79%	29 points	✓	24.0	0.66
		78%	24 points	✓	29.3	0.65
		78%	25 points	✓	28.2	0.63
		76%	9 points	✓	44.0	0.60
		72%	18 points	✓	35.5	0.52
		70%	18 points	✓	35.3	0.49
		70%	18 points	✓	35.3	0.48
		70%	24 points	✓	29.0	0.48
		69%	18 points	✓	34.6	0.47
		68%	19 points	✓	33.9	0.45
		68%	17 points	✓	36.0	0.44
Punters		68%	15 points	✓	38.1	0.44
		68%	14 points	✓	39.5	0.43
		67%	18 points	✓	35.2	0.42
		67%	14 points	✓	39.0	0.42
		67%	16 points	✓	36.8	0.42
		66%	14 points	✓	39.0	0.40
		65%	13 points	✓	40.5	0.38
		65%	13 points	✓	40.2	0.38
		64%	18 points	✓	35.0	0.36
		61%	10 points	✓	43.4	0.29
		61%	15 points	✓	38.0	0.29
		60%	10 points	✓	43.0	0.26
		58%	6 points	✓	46.9	0.22
		55%	4 points	✓	48.8	0.13

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.