Essendon v Greater Western Sydney
2023-04-09 14:10:00 +10:00
Docklands

11.22

88

11.9

75

Essendon won by 13 points

IN

Phillips

Zerk-Thatcher

Heppell

D'Ambrosio

OUT

IN

Stone

Kennedy

Peatling

Hamilton

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
s10		66%	15 points	✓	2.5	0.41
Aggregate		67%	15 points	✓	2.5	0.42
		77%	27 points	✓	14.0	0.63
		75%	21 points	✓	8.0	0.58
		74%	19 points	✓	6.4	0.57
		73%	25 points	✓	12.0	0.55
		71%	8 points	✓	5.0	0.51
		70%	18 points	✓	5.4	0.50
		69%	20 points	✓	7.1	0.46
		68%	15 points	✓	2.1	0.44
		68%	15 points	✓	1.8	0.44
		68%	15 points	✓	2.2	0.44
		68%	15 points	✓	2.4	0.43
		67%	16 points	✓	3.0	0.42
		67%	15 points	✓	2.2	0.42
		67%	17 points	✓	3.9	0.41
		66%	21 points	✓	8.0	0.40
Punters		65%	12 points	✓	1.0	0.39
		64%	13 points	✓	0.5	0.34
		63%	12 points	✓	0.6	0.33
		63%	13 points	✓	0.1	0.33
		62%	16 points	✓	3.0	0.31
		62%	16 points	✓	3.0	0.31
		62%	9 points	✓	4.1	0.31
		62%	10 points	✓	3.0	0.31
		61%	9 points	✓	3.8	0.28
		60%	8 points	✓	5.1	0.25

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.