Fremantle v Richmond
Perth Stadium
12.14
86
17.9
111
Match complete
Richmond won by 25 points
IN
Cox
McCarthy
OUT
IN
Garthwaite
Astbury
Vlastuin
Rioli
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
72% | 17 points | ✗ | 42.2 | -0.81 |
 |
|
61% | 7 points | ✗ | 32.2 | -0.36 |
| Punters | |
59% | 9 points | ✗ | 33.5 | -0.30 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✗ | 31.8 | -0.24 |
 |
|
57% | 4 points | ✗ | 29.0 | -0.22 |
 |
|
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 31.2 | -0.18 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 30.0 | -0.17 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✗ | 29.9 | -0.15 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✗ | 29.1 | -0.15 |
 |
|
53% | 4 points | ✗ | 28.8 | -0.10 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 22.0 | 0.07 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.19 |
 |
|
58% | 7 points | ✓ | 18.0 | 0.21 |
 |
|
64% | 13 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.36 |
 |
|
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.36 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.