Hawthorn v Greater Western Sydney

M.C.G.

71

38

Match complete
Hawthorn won by 33 points

IN
Cousins
Scrimshaw
Ceglar
Morrison
Frawley
Roughead
Wingard
Smith
Howe
Brand
OUT
IN
Simpson
Langdon
Davis
Kelly
Corr
Mumford
Hately
Cumming
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Greater Western Sydney
56% 6 points 38.9-0.18
Squiggle
Greater Western Sydney
71% 24 points 56.7-0.77
Stattraction
Greater Western Sydney
67% 18 points 51.0-0.61
AFL Lab
Greater Western Sydney
67% 13 points 46.0-0.61
Massey Ratings
Greater Western Sydney
61% 10 points 43.0-0.37
Swinburne
Greater Western Sydney
61% 11 points 44.0-0.36
Punters
Greater Western Sydney
59% 8 points 40.5-0.27
Matter of Stats
Greater Western Sydney
57% 7 points 40.3-0.22
AFLalytics
Greater Western Sydney
53% 3 points 35.9-0.09
Fat Stats
Greater Western Sydney
53% 3 points 36.2-0.08
The Arc
Greater Western Sydney
53% 2 points 35.0-0.08
Footy Maths Institute
Greater Western Sydney
52% 3 points 36.0-0.06
Live Ladders
Greater Western Sydney
51% 1 point 34.0-0.03
PlusSixOne
Hawthorn
51% 1 point 32.20.02
Graft
Hawthorn
51% 2 points 31.00.04
HPN
Hawthorn
53% 2 points 30.70.07
AFL Gains
Hawthorn
55% 4 points 29.10.14

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 8, 2019