Hawthorn v Greater Western Sydney
M.C.G.
10.11
71
5.8
38
Match complete
Hawthorn won by 33 points
IN
Cousins
Scrimshaw
Ceglar
Morrison
Frawley
Roughead
Wingard
Smith
Howe
Brand
OUT
IN
Simpson
Langdon
Davis
Kelly
Corr
Mumford
Hately
Cumming
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
56% | 6 points | ✗ | 38.9 | -0.18 |
 |
|
71% | 24 points | ✗ | 56.7 | -0.77 |
 |
|
67% | 18 points | ✗ | 51.0 | -0.61 |
 |
|
67% | 13 points | ✗ | 46.0 | -0.61 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✗ | 43.0 | -0.37 |
 |
|
61% | 11 points | ✗ | 44.0 | -0.36 |
| Punters | |
59% | 8 points | ✗ | 40.5 | -0.27 |
 |
|
57% | 7 points | ✗ | 40.3 | -0.22 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 35.9 | -0.09 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 36.2 | -0.08 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✗ | 35.0 | -0.08 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✗ | 36.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✗ | 34.0 | -0.03 |
 |
|
51% | 1 point | ✓ | 32.2 | 0.02 |
 |
|
51% | 2 points | ✓ | 31.0 | 0.04 |
 |
|
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 30.7 | 0.07 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 29.1 | 0.14 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.