Port Adelaide v Adelaide
Adelaide Oval
9.14
68
13.10
88
Match complete
Adelaide won by 20 points
IN
Farrell
Johnson
Broadbent
Motlop
Wines
Ebert
Bonner
Butters
OUT
IN
Brown
Gibbs
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
53% | 2 points | ✓ | 17.6 | 0.07 |
 |
|
68% | 11 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.44 |
| Punters | |
58% | 8 points | ✓ | 12.5 | 0.20 |
 |
|
57% | 9 points | ✓ | 11.1 | 0.20 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✓ | 13.5 | 0.18 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.15 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 15.1 | 0.15 |
 |
|
54% | 3 points | ✓ | 16.9 | 0.11 |
 |
|
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.11 |
 |
|
52% | 3 points | ✓ | 17.0 | 0.06 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✓ | 19.6 | 0.00 |
 |
|
50% | 0 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.01 |
 |
|
51% | 0 points | ✗ | 20.0 | -0.02 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 22.0 | -0.06 |
 |
|
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 23.2 | -0.10 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 25.0 | -0.19 |
 |
|
57% | 6 points | ✗ | 26.0 | -0.21 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.