Western Bulldogs v Brisbane Lions
Eureka Stadium
13.14
92
11.10
76
Match complete
Western Bulldogs won by 16 points
IN
Roberts
Suckling
Dickson
English
OUT
IN
Bailey
Andrews
Taylor
Walker
OUT
| Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Aggregate | |
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 11.5 | 0.13 |
 |
|
64% | 18 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.37 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.29 |
 |
|
61% | 10 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.28 |
 |
|
58% | 9 points | ✓ | 7.3 | 0.22 |
| Punters | |
57% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.5 | 0.20 |
 |
|
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 11.7 | 0.16 |
 |
|
56% | 3 points | ✓ | 12.6 | 0.16 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.15 |
 |
|
55% | 4 points | ✓ | 11.6 | 0.14 |
 |
|
55% | 7 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 11.0 | 0.14 |
 |
|
55% | 5 points | ✓ | 11.2 | 0.13 |
 |
|
52% | 2 points | ✗ | 18.0 | -0.05 |
 |
|
52% | 1 point | ✗ | 17.0 | -0.05 |
 |
|
56% | 5 points | ✗ | 21.1 | -0.17 |
 |
|
56% | 7 points | ✗ | 23.0 | -0.20 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.