Carlton v Collingwood
2019-05-11 13:45:00
M.C.G.

13.9

87

16.10

106

Match complete
Collingwood won by 19 points

IN

Setterfield

McGovern

Kreuzer

Jones

O'Brien

Phillips

OUT

IN

Wills

Mayne

Adams

Beams

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		83%	36 points	✓	16.6	0.73
		94%	49 points	✓	30.4	0.91
		91%	48 points	✓	29.4	0.87
		90%	45 points	✓	26.0	0.85
		89%	20 points	✓	1.0	0.83
		87%	46 points	✓	27.0	0.80
		87%	44 points	✓	25.0	0.80
Punters		86%	38 points	✓	18.5	0.78
		85%	38 points	✓	19.0	0.77
		85%	52 points	✓	33.0	0.77
		84%	33 points	✓	14.0	0.75
		83%	34 points	✓	15.0	0.73
		79%	39 points	✓	20.2	0.66
		77%	32 points	✓	12.8	0.62
		71%	22 points	✓	3.0	0.50
		70%	18 points	✓	0.9	0.48
		65%	12 points	✓	7.5	0.38

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.