Gold Coast v Melbourne

Carrara

60

61

Match complete
Melbourne won by 1 point

IN
Lukosius
Lemmens
Hanley
Weller
Joyce
Young
Fiorini
Horlin-Smith
OUT
IN
Viney
Neal-Bullen
OUT
TipWin %Margin MAEBits
Aggregate
Melbourne
66% 16 points 15.20.40
Stattraction
Melbourne
84% 36 points 35.00.74
AFLalytics
Melbourne
82% 33 points 31.60.72
Matter of Stats
Melbourne
80% 29 points 28.20.68
Footy Maths Institute
Melbourne
75% 34 points 33.00.58
Massey Ratings
Melbourne
72% 22 points 21.00.53
Swinburne
Melbourne
72% 22 points 21.00.53
Punters
Melbourne
69% 19 points 17.80.46
Graft
Melbourne
68% 17 points 16.00.45
Fat Stats
Melbourne
61% 13 points 12.20.29
AFL Lab
Melbourne
60% 5 points 4.00.27
Live Ladders
Melbourne
60% 9 points 8.00.26
The Arc
Melbourne
59% 8 points 7.00.24
AFL Gains
Melbourne
56% 4 points 3.20.15
PlusSixOne
Melbourne
54% 4 points 3.30.12
Squiggle
Melbourne
54% 4 points 3.10.10
HPN
Melbourne
51% 0 points 0.60.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.

Round 8, 2019