Gold Coast v Melbourne
2019-05-11 16:35:00
Carrara

60

61

Match complete
Melbourne won by 1 point

IN

Lukosius

Lemmens

Hanley

Weller

Joyce

Young

Fiorini

Horlin-Smith

OUT

IN

Viney

Neal-Bullen

OUT

	Tip	Win %	Margin	✓	MAE	Bits
Aggregate		66%	16 points	✓	15.2	0.40
		84%	36 points	✓	35.0	0.74
		82%	33 points	✓	31.6	0.72
		80%	29 points	✓	28.2	0.68
		75%	34 points	✓	33.0	0.58
		72%	22 points	✓	21.0	0.53
		72%	22 points	✓	21.0	0.53
Punters		69%	19 points	✓	17.8	0.46
		68%	17 points	✓	16.0	0.45
		61%	13 points	✓	12.2	0.29
		60%	5 points	✓	4.0	0.27
		60%	9 points	✓	8.0	0.26
		59%	8 points	✓	7.0	0.24
		56%	4 points	✓	3.2	0.15
		54%	4 points	✓	3.3	0.12
		54%	4 points	✓	3.1	0.10
		51%	0 points	✓	0.6	0.01

"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.

"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.

Drawn games are counted as correct tips.