Gold Coast v Melbourne
Carrara
9.6
60
8.13
61
Match complete
Melbourne won by 1 point
IN
Lukosius
Lemmens
Hanley
Weller
Joyce
Young
Fiorini
Horlin-Smith
OUT
IN
Viney
Neal-Bullen
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 66% | 16 points | ✓ | 15.2 | 0.40 | |
84% | 36 points | ✓ | 35.0 | 0.74 | ||
82% | 33 points | ✓ | 31.6 | 0.72 | ||
80% | 29 points | ✓ | 28.2 | 0.68 | ||
75% | 34 points | ✓ | 33.0 | 0.58 | ||
72% | 22 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.53 | ||
72% | 22 points | ✓ | 21.0 | 0.53 | ||
Punters | 69% | 19 points | ✓ | 17.8 | 0.46 | |
68% | 17 points | ✓ | 16.0 | 0.45 | ||
61% | 13 points | ✓ | 12.2 | 0.29 | ||
60% | 5 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.27 | ||
60% | 9 points | ✓ | 8.0 | 0.26 | ||
59% | 8 points | ✓ | 7.0 | 0.24 | ||
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.2 | 0.15 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.3 | 0.12 | ||
54% | 4 points | ✓ | 3.1 | 0.10 | ||
51% | 0 points | ✓ | 0.6 | 0.01 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.