North Melbourne v Geelong
Marvel Stadium
11.14
80
16.8
104
Match complete
Geelong won by 24 points
IN
Taylor
Durdin
Thompson
Williams
OUT
IN
Constable
Tuohy
Menegola
Guthrie
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 74% | 26 points | ✓ | 2.1 | 0.57 | |
83% | 39 points | ✓ | 15.0 | 0.74 | ||
82% | 36 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.71 | ||
82% | 31 points | ✓ | 7.5 | 0.71 | ||
80% | 30 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.68 | ||
79% | 29 points | ✓ | 5.0 | 0.65 | ||
77% | 33 points | ✓ | 8.7 | 0.63 | ||
77% | 37 points | ✓ | 13.0 | 0.62 | ||
76% | 35 points | ✓ | 11.1 | 0.61 | ||
Punters | 76% | 25 points | ✓ | 0.5 | 0.60 | |
75% | 30 points | ✓ | 6.0 | 0.59 | ||
72% | 20 points | ✓ | 4.0 | 0.52 | ||
69% | 19 points | ✓ | 5.3 | 0.46 | ||
68% | 19 points | ✓ | 5.2 | 0.44 | ||
66% | 15 points | ✓ | 9.0 | 0.41 | ||
64% | 12 points | ✓ | 12.0 | 0.34 | ||
61% | 8 points | ✓ | 15.9 | 0.28 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.