Sydney v Essendon
S.C.G.
11.11
77
10.12
72
Match complete
Sydney won by 5 points
IN
O'Riordan
Cunningham
OUT
IN
Ham
Clarke
Myers
Fantasia
Daniher
Baguley
Langford
Ridley
OUT
Tip | Win % | Margin | ✓ | MAE | Bits | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Aggregate | 61% | 11 points | ✗ | 15.7 | -0.37 | |
73% | 18 points | ✗ | 23.5 | -0.88 | ||
69% | 9 points | ✗ | 14.0 | -0.67 | ||
68% | 19 points | ✗ | 24.0 | -0.66 | ||
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 20.6 | -0.62 | ||
67% | 16 points | ✗ | 21.0 | -0.59 | ||
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 19.8 | -0.56 | ||
66% | 15 points | ✗ | 20.1 | -0.54 | ||
64% | 14 points | ✗ | 19.0 | -0.47 | ||
Punters | 64% | 13 points | ✗ | 18.2 | -0.46 | |
63% | 15 points | ✗ | 20.3 | -0.42 | ||
61% | 12 points | ✗ | 17.4 | -0.37 | ||
58% | 6 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.23 | ||
54% | 6 points | ✗ | 11.0 | -0.12 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✗ | 8.0 | -0.08 | ||
53% | 3 points | ✓ | 1.7 | 0.09 | ||
56% | 4 points | ✓ | 1.0 | 0.15 |
"Bits" from Monash University Probabilistic Footy Tipping rewards tipsters for saying a win was more likely and punishes them for saying it was unlikely. Higher is better.
"MAE" is Mean Absolute Error, the average difference between predicted and actual margins. Lower is better.
Drawn games are counted as correct tips.